Number of Waves
at Each Degree
Impulse + Correction = Cycle
Largest waves 1+1=2
Largest subdivisions 5+3=8
Next subdivisions 21+13=34
Next subdivisions 89+55=144
Number of Waves at Each Degree
|
Motive + |
Corrective |
= Cycle |
|
(Impulse) |
(Zigzag) |
|
Largest waves |
1 |
1 |
2 |
Largest subdivisions |
5 |
3 |
8 |
Next subdivisions |
21 |
13 |
34 |
Next subdivisions |
89 |
55 |
144 |
As with Figures 1-2 and 1-3 in
Lesson 2, neither does Figure 1-4 imply finality. As before, the
termination of yet another eight wave movement (five up and
three down) completes a cycle that automatically becomes two
subdivisions of the wave of next higher degree. As long
as progress continues, the process of building to greater
degrees continues. The reverse process of subdividing into
lesser degrees apparently continues indefinitely as well. As far
as we can determine, then, all waves both have and are
component waves.
Elliott himself never speculated
on why the market's essential form was five waves to progress
and three waves to regress. He simply noted that that was what
was happening. Does the essential form have to be five waves and
three waves? Think about it and you will realize that this is the
minimum requirement for, and therefore the most efficient method
of, achieving both fluctuation and progress in
linear movement. One wave does not allow fluctuation.
The fewest subdivisions to create fluctuation is three waves.
Three waves in both directions does not allow progress.
To progress in one direction despite periods of regress,
movements in the main trend must be at least five waves, simply
to cover more ground than the three waves and still contain
fluctuation. While there could be more waves than that, the most
efficient form of punctuated progress is 5-3, and nature
typically follows the most efficient path.
Variations on the Basic Theme
The Wave Principle would be
simple to apply if the basic theme described above were the
complete description of market behavior. However, the real
world, fortunately or unfortunately, is not so simple. From here
through Lesson 15, we will fill out the description of how the
market behaves in reality. That's what Elliott set out to
describe, and he succeeded in doing so.
WAVE DEGREE
All waves may be categorized by
relative size, or degree. Elliott discerned nine degrees of
waves, from the smallest wiggle on an hourly chart to the
largest wave he could assume existed from the data then
available. He chose the names listed below to label these
degrees, from largest to smallest:
Grand Supercycle
Supercycle
Cycle
Primary
Intermediate
Minor
Minute
Minuette
Subminuette
It is important to
understand that these labels refer to specifically identifiable
degrees of waves. For instance, whenwe refer to the U.S. stock
market's rise from 1932, we speak of it as a Supercycle with
subdivisions as follows:
1932-1937 the first wave of Cycle
degree
1937-1942 the second wave of
Cycle degree
1942-1966 the third wave of Cycle
degree
1966-1974 the fourth wave of
Cycle degree
1974-19?? the fifth wave of Cycle
degree
Cycle waves subdivide into
Primary waves that subdivide into Intermediate waves that in
turn subdivide into Minor and sub-Minor waves. By using this
nomenclature, the analyst can identify precisely the position of
a wave in the overall progression of the market, much as
longitude and latitude are used to identify a geographical
location. To say, "the Dow Jones Industrial Average is in
Minute wave v of Minor wave 1 of Intermediate wave (3) of
Primary wave [5] of Cycle wave I of Supercycle wave (V) of the
current Grand Supercycle" is to identify a specific point
along the progression of market history. |
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